Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul Odds & Prediction – ATP National Bank Open Quarterfinals
By Robert Duff in Tennis
Updated: October 27, 2022 at 3:36 am EDTPublished:
- Tommy Paul is a -157 favorite over Daniel Evans in a battle of unseeded players in the quarterfinals at the ATP National Bank Open on Friday, August 12
- Both players downed seeded opponents in their Round of 16 matches
- It’s the first meeting of these two players on the ATP Tour
Tommy Paul and Daniel Evans are only separated by five places in the ATP rankings. On Friday, the two tennis players will be separated on court by a net as they clash for the first time.
American Paul and Great Britain’s Evans, both unseeded players, will meet in the quarterfinals at the ATP National Bank Open on Friday, August 12. Oddsmakers are setting world #34 Paul as the -157 favorite to defeat world #39 Evans.
Neither player was favored to win their round of 16 match earlier this week.
Evans vs Paul ATP National Bank Open QF Odds
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Evans | +125 | +2.5 (+135) | O 22.5 (-104) |
| Tommy Paul | -157 | -2.5 (-175) | U 22.5 (-122) |
Odds as of August 12th at Barstool Sportsbook. Get this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on this match
The Evans vs Paul match is set to get underway at 3:30 pm ET on Friday, August 12. The Tennis Channel is carrying all the action in the USA. Sportsnet is broadcasting the tournament in Canada.
At odds of -157, favored Paul is offering an implied probability of victory of 61.09%. Bet $10 on Paul and if he comes through with the win in the match, the payout will be $16.40.
Evans Puts Taylor On the Fritz Again
History does repeat itself, as Taylor Fritz found out much to his chagrin. The #10 seed in this event, Fritz fell 6-7(5-7), 6-1, 5-7 to Evans in their round of 16 match. Evans was a +160 underdog when the match got underway.
One week earlier at the Citi Open, Evans reached the quarterfinals after also beating Fritz in the round of 16. The latter was forced to retire due to heat exhaustion. At the time of Fritz’s retirement from the match Evans was ahead 3-6, 7-6(8-6), 4-1. However, he was required to stave off match point in the second-set tiebreaker.
Dan Evans beats Taylor Fritz 7-6(5) 1-6 7-5 in the third round in Montreal. pic.twitter.com/GMg8gXIhkW
— Tennis on telly 🎾📺🇬🇧 (all times BST) (@tennisontelly) August 11, 2022
Despite the victory, the underlying numbers are showing that Evans clearly didn’t dominate the match. Although he held a 74-61% edge in getting his first serves to land in play, Evans only managed to win 68% of his first-service points, compared to 71% by Fritz. The American also held a 53-50% edge on second-serve points. Evans saved three of nine break points. Fritz could only save five of 17.
The win over world #12 Fritz came on the heels of a verdict by Evans against world #8 Andrey Rublev, the #5 seed in the tournament. Evans easily dispatched Rublev 6-4, 6-4.
Paul Sends Cilic Packing
At the start of Paul’s round of 16 match with Marin Cilic, the #13 seed Cilic was one of two players left in the draw who’d won an ATP Masters 1000 event. Now there’s just one, Hubert Hurkacz.
Tommy Paul is the greatest tennis player of all time and no way he loses today pic.twitter.com/2F7UD7DDHG
— Avery Chenier (@AveryChenier) August 11, 2022
The +114 underdog entering the match, Paul overcame Cilic in straight sets 6-4, 6-2. Paul required just one hour and 12 minutes to defeat Cilic.
The American held a 76-57% edge in first service points won. He also held a 59-38% advantage in second service points won. Paul was 4/9 on break points saves, while Cilic was 1/5. In the previous round, Paul toppled Spanish sensation and world #4 Carlos Alcarez.
Evans vs Paul Prediction
It figures to be a battle of Paul’s powerful service game against Evans and his ability to make intricate touch shots.
Paul will be playing in his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal match.
Evans vs Paul Stats
| 39 | ATP Ranking | 34 |
| 1 | ATP Titles | 1 |
| 3 | ATP Final Appearances | 1 |
| 18-17 | W-L (2022) | 28-19 |
| 76% | Service Games Won | 79% |
| 24% | Return Games Won | 23% |
| 53% | Break Points Saved | 62% |
| 129 | Aces | 184 |
Both of these players are on top of their games in Montreal, posting wins over some elite tennis talent. Expect this to be a long, hard-fought match.
Paul is showing a 184-129 edge in aces.
Tommy Paul backs up his win over Alcaraz easily beating Marin Cilic 6-4, 6-2 to reach the QFs in Montreal. His first ever M1000 QF.
Great chance vs. an also in form Dan Evans.
— JosĂ© Morgado (@josemorgado) August 12, 2022
He’s also the better percentage player in service games won (79-74), return games won (24-23) and break points saved (62-53.).
Take Paul to win in three sets.
Pick: Tommy Paul -157; Paul 2-1 (+310)
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
