MLS Picks Week 15 – Predictions & Odds for Orlando vs Atlanta, Nashville vs Columbus & More

• MLS Week 15 picks for May 27-28 from the weekend card of 14 games
• MLS picks for Orlando City vs Atlanta United, San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas and Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew
• See all of the MLS odds plus our top MLS predictions for Week 15 here

Matchday 15 in Major League Soccer kicks off on Saturday at 7:30 pm EST with five matches, that start a busy day of 12 games. This week has two Sunday matches with SKC vs Portland at 3:00 pm EST and Nashville vs Columbus at 8:30 pm EST. We’ve analyzed the card and come up with our top three MLS picks for this weekend here.

LAFC are off due to their CCL Final Leg 1 match versus Leon coming up on Wednesday.

Several teams will be coming off midweek play having played in the US Open Cup Round of 16. Those teams include the New York Red Bulls, Cincinnati. Inter Miami, Nashville, Houston, Minnesota, LA Galaxy, Columbus, Charlotte, Austin, Chicago, Colorado and RSL. Montreal and Vancouver also played in the Canadian Championship Semifinals.

It was the highest goal-scoring week of the season in Week 14 with 45 goals scored last Saturday. Let’s bank on that trend continuing in Week 15 and make a few MLS picks that feature goalscoring.

MLS Odds Week 15

Looking at the MLS Week 15 odds above, bookmakers have insralled the LA Galaxy as the biggest favorites at -150 odds at home to Charlotte FC. New England, Montreal and Sporting KC are also among the larger favorites this weekend. With draw odds of +220, the match between NYCFC and Philadelphia is expected to be close. Odds from May 26 at Bet365.

Get this Bet365 bonus code to make your MLS Week 15 picks here. Get all the details about one of the industry’s top sportsbooks with our Bet365 review.

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction

No matter how you look at it, Atlanta’s games have been good Over plays. The Five Stripes lead the league as the highest Over 2.5 team at 11-3, also tied alongside Charlotte. But their total average goals per game in their matches tops the charts at 3.7, compared to Charlotte’s 3.1.

Atlanta road games by far average the most goals in the league at 4.1, while going 6-1 to Over 2.5 totals.

Orlando on the other hand generally sees lower scoring games. They’re 7-6 to Under 2.5 totals overall and 5-2 to Under 2.5 totals at home.

Luiz Araujo will be suspended after receiving a red card last week, but Giorgos Giakoumakis has quickly taken to MLS, being one of five players tied for second in league scoring with eight goals. His 1.36 goals per 90 is tops in the league. Thiago Almada is right behind with six goals to go with eight assists.

On Orlando’s side, Ercan Kara is heating up with four goals and two assists in five games. While the Lions may not be one of the league’s higher scoring teams (tied in 16th), they scored three on the road in Miami (3-1 win) last week, have scored in three straight and in six in seven,

This rivalry has historically gone Atlanta’s way as they’ve lost just 3/18 games versus Orlando, however, that streak has cooled off of late with the Five Stripes winning only two of the past nine (2-4-3). They’ll be hard-pressed to get all three points in Week 15 as they’ve been awful on the road with only two wins in 23 away games across all competitions.

• MLS Picks: Both teams to score (-150), risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook. Get your Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this weekend’s MLS action here.

46': Giakoumakis subs on
65': Giakoumakis has a brace@ATLUTD retake the lead in Chicago! pic.twitter.com/xWBIenPriu

— Major League Soccer (@MLS) May 21, 2023

San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas Prediction

Look back over past seasons and this matchup is typically goal-heavy. It was 1-1 and 4-1 (Dallas) last season. Those results extended a run of six straight matches where both teams have scored. Both have also scored in 8/9. That Dallas win though has been the only time FCD has collected all three points versus the Earthquakes in the past 11 meetings.

That trend looks like it could continue this season. These teams are neck-and-neck in the West with Dallas fourth (22 points) and San Jose, fifth (18 points). The Quakes have actually allowed more goals than they’ve scored (17 GF/ 18 GA), depsite being in a playoff position.

Now most of those goals allowed have come on the road though. At home, they’re 5-1-0 with ten scored and just three conceded. However, San Jose has only kept three clean sheets on the season, all at home, but also to the likes of Colorado, Toronto and SKC; all teams that struggle to score.

Home or away, San Jose matches have all seen both teams scoring and three or more goals in their past five.

At home, San Jose usually give their fans something to cheer for scoring in 10/11 and in 27/29.

Dallas have only lost once in their past eight games and when not playing Minnesota (0-0 draw and 1-0 loss), FCD have scored in each of their other 11 games.

Expecting a Dallas road win would go against a long string of results to the contrary. Dallas is winless in their past 14 road games and have just one win in 24 away games. Despite that road ineptitude, they’ve at least scored in eight of their past nine away from home.

Both teams have in-form strikers with Jesus Ferreira and Cristian Espinoza among the early Golden Boot contenders with eight goals and I see each team getting on the board for my soccer picks today.

• MLS Picks: Both teams to score (-143), risk 1 unit at Bet365

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Nashville are among the league’s best in the MLS Cup odds with 25 points and tied in second with LAFC in the Supporters’ Shield standings behind Cincinnati. Their nine goals conceded are a league-best and 13.1 xGA ranks third. Those numbers are giving us a decent price on the both teams to score market this week.

So long as Hany Mukhtar is on the pitch, Nashville will always be in with a chance to score. The German is second in league scoring with eight goals and scored twice against Charlotte last week in Nashville’s 2-1 road win.

76 – @NashvilleSC's Hany Mukhtar has been involved in 76 goals since the start of the 2021 season (47 goals, 29 assists), 22 more than any other player in MLS in that time. Gap. pic.twitter.com/CvGpEVbK6d

— OptaJack⚽️ (@OptaJack) May 21, 2023

Columbus lost 1-0 on the road to Pittsburgh in the US Open Cup on Wednesday, but in MLS play they’ve scored in all but one game, a 1-0 road loss in Charlotte. That’s goals in 12/13 games, making them the league’s third highest scoring team with 25 goals. Columbus owns an xG of 21.1 which ranks fourth, while they’re eighth in shots and seventh in shots on target. Lucas Zelarayan is leading the Crew with six goals and three assists.

Nashville may be a strong defensive side, but after five clean sheets in their opening seven games, they’ve now allowed a goal in six of their past seven. They also lost 2-1 in Miami in US Open Cup play on Tuesday.

I’m backing that to continue in MLS Week 15 with each team finding the scoresheet.

• MLS Picks: Both teams to score (-120), risk 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook

Now that you have our top MLS picks for today, check out one of the best sports betting sites to make your MLS predictions for Week 15.