Formula 1 2021 United States Grand Prix Odds and Picks

By Daniel Coyle in Racing
Published:

- Lewis Hamilton is favored to claim a seventh career win at the United States Grand Prix when he hits the track as a betting favorite on Sunday October 24th, 2021
- Max Verstappen sits second in the odds, but Valtteri Bottas has emerged as an attractive bet to defend his title
- We’ve got you covered with the United States Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas
Lewis Hamilton will be gunning for a seventh career victory at the United States Grand Prix when he hits the track on Sunday for this year’s edition of the race as a strong -135 favorite in F1 odds. The 36-year-old Englishman last captured the flag at this race back in 2017 but is coming off a steady performance two weeks ago in Turkey that ended with a respectable fifth-place finish. Currently perched atop the Formula 1 Drivers’ Standings, six points up on Hamilton, Max Verstappen closely follows as a +135 second favorite in the United States Grand Prix odds. Fresh off his first win of the season in Istanbul, Valtteri Bottas aims for a second straight win in the United States as an intriguing +1600 bet.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead lights out at the 2021 United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas on Sunday, October 24th, 2021 at 2:00 PM EST.
Odds to Win 2021 United States Grand Prix
Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lewis Hamilton | -135 | -400 | -600 | -900 |
Max Verstappen | +135 | -360 | -550 | -900 |
Valtteri Bottas | +1600 | -165 | -450 | -600 |
Sergio Perez | +2000 | +275 | -360 | -600 |
Lando Norris | +4000 | +330 | -250 | -500 |
Charles Leclerc | +4000 | +300 | -250 | -500 |
Carlos Sainz Jr. | +8000 | +750 | -125 | -450 |
Pierre Gasly | +10000 | +1000 | +120 | -280 |
George Russell | +10000 | +2500 | +1000 | +145 |
Daniel Ricciardo | +15000 | +1000 | +165 | -280 |
Fernando Alonso | +20000 | +1600 | +275 | -250 |
Esteban Ocon | +20000 | +1800 | +500 | -140 |
Sebastian Vettel | +25000 | +1800 | +550 | -120 |
Lance Stroll | +30000 | +2800 | +1100 | +110 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +40000 | +6500 | +3500 | +175 |
Antonio Giovinazzi | +40000 | +13000 | +6500 | +650 |
Kimi Raikkonen | +40000 | +13000 | +6500 | +650 |
Nicholas Latifi | +50000 | +20000 | +10000 | +1100 |
Mick Schumacher | +50000 | +15000 | +8000 | +1100 |
Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | +25000 | +10000 | +1800 |
Odds as of October 21st at DraftKings
Lewis Hamilton Betting Outlook at United States Grand Prix
With an enviable record of success at this event, it comes as no surprise that Lewis Hamilton enters the weekend atop the United States Grand Prix odds. Hamilton’s steady run has also maintained Mercedes’ dominance, with the German automaker capturing the checkered flag in five of the past six editions of this race.
Here's what awaits the drivers at the United States Grand Prix as Max Verstappen looks to maintain his championship lead over Lewis Hamilton pic.twitter.com/oN5WI98Cmm
— PA Sport (@pasport) October 21, 2021
While Hamilton was forced to settle for fifth place in Turkey after being hit with a 10-place grid penalty due to an engine upgrade, the path is clear for him to challenge for pole position for the fourth time in his past five appearances in Austin. However, no shortage of challenges awaits the defending F1 champion as he aims to claim just his third victory in 13 outings.
Verstappen Favored in United States Grand Prix Odds
Most notable among those threats is Max Verstappen, who aims to pad his lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings with his eighth victory of the season. The Red Bull Racing star is coming off back-to-back second-place finishes and has reached the podium on 12 occasions this season. However, success has eluded him in the United States, where he remains winless and tallied just two podium finishes in five all-time appearances. Nonetheless, Verstappen comes into the weekend as the second betting favorite in the United States Grand Prix odds.
From a 2-point deficit to a 6-point lead 👀@Max33Verstappen leads after 16 rounds! #TurkishGP 🇹🇷 #F1 pic.twitter.com/bcFJRshYdR
— Formula 1 (@F1) October 10, 2021
Despite his past struggles in Austin, Verstappen remains a constant threat. The 24-year-old has taken the pole on eight occasions so far this season, and like Hamilton, Verstappen should also benefit from a recent engine upgrade. That adds value to the +190 odds of the standings leader emerging as the fastest qualifier this weekend.
United States Grand Prix Recent Winners
Year | Driver | Margin of Victory |
---|---|---|
2020 | Race cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic | n/a |
2019 | Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes | 4.148 sec |
2018 | Kimi Räikkönen – Ferrari | 1.281 sec |
2017 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 10.143 sec |
2016 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 4.520 sec |
2015 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 2.850 sec |
2014 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 4.314 sec |
Bottas Poised for Back-to-Back Wins
While the focus remains on the seesaw battle between Hamilton and Verstappen for this season’s title, Valtteri Bottas has quietly emerged gained momentum. The 32-year-old has turned in some of his best performances of the season since announcing his departure from Mercedes at the end of the 2021 campaign.
On this date, Valtteri Bottas won the 2019 United States Grand Prix @ Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. pic.twitter.com/btZTWrEsmO
— Inigo Sim 🇵🇭 (@inigo_sim) November 3, 2020
In addition to his recent victory in Istanbul, Bottas has also claimed a podium spot in three of his past four outings. He also earned the pole in the last edition of this race, before speeding to victory, and offers tremendous value as a +1600 bet to win back-to-back races for the first time in his F1 career at the United States Grand Prix.
United States Grand Prix Picks & Predictions
While Lando Norris has struggled at times since opening the season with 10 straight points finishes including three trips to the podium, both he and his McLaren teammate could be poised for a breakthrough this weekend. With the track at Circuit of the Americas featuring a pair of lengthy straightaways, the two McLaren drivers are well positioned to keep pace with their Mercedes and Red Bull drivers.
🏎 Podium du Grand Prix d'Italie :👇
1️⃣ Daniel Ricciardo 🇦🇺
2️⃣ Lando Norris 🇬🇧
3️⃣ Valtteri Bottas 🇫🇮#F1 #ItalianGP 🇮🇹 pic.twitter.com/X3tKOqPovc
— Sports Share (@Sports_Share_FR) September 12, 2021
In addition Norris’ attractive +330 odds of finishing top three, and Ricciardo’s +165 odds of cracking the top six, McLaren is pegged as a solid +100 bet in the United States Grand Prix odds to produce the best finish behind Red Bull and Mercedes.
The Picks: Valtteri Bottas to win (+1600); Valtteri Bottas top three (-150); Lando Norris top three (+330)

Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.