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Warriors vs Celtics Predictions, Best Odds & Player Props (Jan 20)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry dribbling as Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard defends
Nov 6, 2024; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) dribbles down the court defended by Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard (11) during the second half at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images
  • The Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics on Monday afternoon in the Bay Area
  • The Warriors are double-digit home underdogs with Steph Curry for the first time since …
  • Below, see the Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors predictions, player props, and best available odds on Jan. 20

A rematch of the 2022 NBA Finals takes place on Monday afternoon in the Bay Area as the Golden State Warriors (21-20, 11-10 home, 19-21-1 ATS) host the Boston Celtics (29-13, 14-5 away, 16-25-1 ATS) at the Chase Center at 2:10 pm PT/5:10 pm ET. The Warriors have been hard-hit by injuries and will be without Jonathan Kuminga (ankle), Draymond Green (calf), and Brandin Podziemski (abdomen), while Steph Curry (ankle) is questionable. The only player on the Boston injury report is seldom-used Drew Peterson (out, concussion). The healthier Celtics are listed as massive 10.5-point road favorites in Monday’s NBA odds.

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

  • Warriors +10.5 (-110) at BetMGM
  • Curry over 24.5 points (-120) at DraftKings
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Betting against the Warriors as home underdogs hasn’t been a profitable endeavor in recent history. Over the last three-plus seasons, the Warriors are 15-4-1 ATS as home underdogs. They’re also above .500 straight-up as home ‘dogs in that stretch, though their 11-9 SU record inspires less confidence in a straight-up victory on Monday.

One of those victories came last year against the Celtics at the Chase Center, when Golden State took a thrilling 132-126 OT win over Boston as 5.5-point home underdogs. Steph Curry (23.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 6.2 APG) had a game-high 33 points in the win. Kuminga, who’s out of the lineup on Monday, added 17, while Klay Thompson – who’s now with the Mavericks – added 24. Green didn’t play in last year’s game either due to suspension.

This season, only two teams – Minnesota and Philadelphia – have a worse ATS record than the highly-thought-of Celtics. They enter Monday amid an uncharacteristically inconsistent run of play, alternating wins and losses in their last eight games. Most recently, Boston fell 119-115 at home to Atlanta in overtime. Jayson Tatum (27.7 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 5.4 APG), a top-five favorite in the NBA MVP odds, had one of his least-efficient games of the season, scoring 23 points on an ugly 7-of-21 performance from the field.

Jaylen Brown (23.3 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 4.9 APG) wasn’t any better, scoring 24 points but going just 9-of-27 from the field. Boston’s two leading scorers accounted for exactly half of the team’s 14 turnovers in the loss.

In addition to backing the Dubs as double-digit home underdogs, I’m also backing Curry to go over 24.5 points. With Kuminga (16.8 PPG, 5.0 RPG) out the past seven games, Curry has had to take on an increased load at the offensive end. He’s averaged PPG in his last seven games, going over 24.5 six times in that stretch.

Curry has also been good against the C’s in recent history. He dropped 27 in a 118-112 road upset at Boston in November, had 33 in the home victory last year, plus 29 and 32 in a pair of games during the 2022-23 season. The only time he hasn’t exceeded 24.5 against Boston lately was during a 140-88 debacle in Beantown last season, when he scored just four points in 17 minutes during a game that got out of hand early.

BOS vs GSW Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists 3-Pointers Made
Jayson Tatum (BOS) 26.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 9.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Steph Curry (GSW) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)
Jaylen Brown (BOS) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 2.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160)
Kristaps Porzingis (BOS) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 8.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) OFF 1.5 (Ov -175 | Un +135)
Derrick White (BOS) 14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -110| Un -120) 3.5 (Ov +130| Un -166)
Dennis Schroder (GSW) 13.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 1.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124)
Jrue Holiday (BOS) 10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 4.5 (Ov -105| Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100)
Trayce Jackson-Davis (GSW) 9.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 8.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) OFF

NBA player props from DraftKings on Jan. 20.

The Celtics/Warriors player props list Tatum with a game-high point total of 26.5, followed by Steph Curry at 24.5. Jaylen Brown (20.5 O/U) is the only other player over the 20-point plateau.

No one has a double-digit rebound total on Monday afternoon. Tatum is the highest at 9.5 followed by Trayce Jackson-Davis at 8.5.

Curry and teammate Dennis Schroder have the highest assist total at 5.5 apiece.

Best Celtics vs Warriors Odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Boston Celtics -10.0 (-112) at DraftKings -455 at DraftKings O 224.0 (-108) at FanDuel
Golden State Warriors +10.5 (-110) at Caesars +375 at bet365 U 224.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Celtics vs Warriors point spread is almost universally Boston -10.5. The lone outlier is DraftKings, which has the spread half a point lower at Boston -10 (-112), making it the best option for Celtics ATS bettors at the moment. BetMGM, bet365, Caesars, and FanDuel all have Golden State +10.5 at -110 odds.

On the moneyline, bet365 has the longest odds on a Golden State victory, pricing the Warriors at +375 on the moneyline. DraftKings has the Celtics considerably longer than any other book, but at -455, DK still give Boston an 81.98% implied win probability.

The Celtics/Warriors game total only shows a half-point range. Almost all sportsbooks list the total at 224.0 with -110 odds both ways. BetMGM, however, has it half a point higher at 224.5 with -115 juice on the under. FanDuel, meanwhile, is offering over 224.0 at the best odds (-108).

The NBA public betting splits for Monday’s busy slate show the public leaning to the Celtics, both against the spread and on the moneyline; as of 10:34 am PT, Boston was getting 61% of ATS handle and 63% of moneyline handle. The public’s favorite bet in the game, though, is the over, with 86% of game-total handle on the over so far.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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