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Tennessee vs Florida State Predictions, Odds, Picks & Probable Pitchers for College World Series (June 19)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Baseball News

Updated: February 21, 2025 at 1:41 pm EST

Published:


Tennessee Volunteers left fielder Dylan Dreiling celebrates a walk-off hit against Florida State
Jun 14, 2024; Omaha, NE, USA; Tennessee Volunteers left fielder Dylan Dreiling (8) singles in the winning run against the Florida State Seminoles during the ninth inning at Charles Schwab Filed Omaha. Mandatory Credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Tennessee Volunteers can punch their ticket to the College World Series final with a win over Florida State on Wednesday afternoon
  • The Seminoles need to win two in a row over the #1 team in the nation to advance
  • See the Tennessee vs Florida State predictions, odds, and probable pitchers for June 19 at the 2024 College World Series

The top-ranked, top-seeded Tennessee Volunteers (57-12) can book their ticket to the 2024 College World Series final with a win on Wednesday afternoon against the Florida State Seminoles (49-16), who kept their season alive with a 9-5 victory over North Carolina on Tuesday.

The Seminoles, who are now 1-2 in the double-elimination bracket, have to win two in a row to knock out Tennessee, which is 2-0 thanks to a thrilling 12-11 comeback win over FSU on Friday and a 6-1 win over UNC on Sunday.

The Volunteers, who have won 11 of their last 12 games, head into Wednesday’s matchup as a sizable favorite in the Tennessee vs Florida State odds.

Tennessee vs Florida State Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Tennessee Volunteers (Sechrist) -195 TBD TBD
Florida State Seminoles (TBD) +150 TBD TBD

Tennessee is listed at -190 on the moneyline with Florida State a +150 underdog to keep its season alive. The game total and runline are currently off the board.

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The first matchup between these teams on Friday was one for the ages. Tennessee built a 4-1 lead after two innings only two see FSU take a 9-4 lead by the end of four. Tennessee showed its championship mettle late in the game, overcoming an 11-7 deficit with one in the eighth and four in the bottom of the ninth (on three singles and a sac fly).

Tennessee is currently the -130 favorite to win the national championship, which would be its first in program history. (Their previous best finish was runner-up in 1951.) Florida State’s odds improved from +2200 to +1000 after they knocked out UNC on Tuesday. The Noles have finished runner-up three times (1970, 1986, 1999) but have also never claimed the national title.

Tennessee vs Florida State Starting Pitchers

Tennessee rolls with its number-two starter on Wednesday, 6’2 lefty Zander Sechrist.

Sechrist’s numbers have dipped slightly compared to last season, when he had a lights-out 2.05 ERA, but his ERA remains a rock-solid 3.26, and he more than doubled his innings pitched from last year (62.2 vs 30.0). He was excellent in his last start, giving up just one run on six hits and no walks over 6.1 innings in a must-win game against Evansville in the Super Regional.

Florida State hasn’t announced its starter, but their number-one, Jamie Arnold, hasn’t pitched since the tournament-opening loss to Tennessee, when he allowed four runs on eight hits and four walks over 5.0 innings.

On the whole, Arnold has been exceptional this season, with a 2.98 ERA and 1.098 while eating a massive 105.2 innings for the Noles.

Zander Sechrist vs Jamie Arnold

Sechrist
VS
Arnold
4-1 Record 11-3
66.1 IP 105.2
3.26 ERA 2.98
1.191 WHIP 1.098
9.0 K/9 13.5
4.71-to-1 K-to-BB Ratio 6.12-to-1

Tennessee vs Florida State Prediction

Tennessee’s march to the College World Series finals feels inevitable, and having Sechrist on the mound should give Vols faithful a lot of confidence. When FSU tagged Tennessee for 11 runs in the tournament opener, neither of the Volunteers top-two starters were available.

The way Tennessee battered Arnold, FSU’s top starter, on Friday is a microcosm of their season: it really doesn’t matter who the opponents has on the mound, the Volunteers’ electric offense can put up runs in a hurry. Arnold finished his five-inning outing with a 2.40 WHIP.

UT vs FSU picks: Tennessee moneyline (-190)

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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